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Oil price could fall to $70 in 2012 Warns Shell

The Telegraph -- Oil prices could fall to $70 a barrel during 2012, from current levels above $110, as high volatility in the economy and energy markets becomes "a fact of life", Royal Dutch Shell executives said.



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Submitted Feb 06, 2012 By: TommyTraveler
Category: Daily News Article Discussions > Topics Add to favorite topics  
Author Topic: Oil price could fall to $70 in 2012 Warns Shell Post a Reply Back to Topics
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SkyWarnTX
All-Star Author Texas

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Message Posted: Feb 10, 2012 9:38:44 AM


Evidently, the Price of OIL has No effect on the price of GASOLINE...Are U.S. Consumers are paying the difference for GASOLINE Exported from the U.S. ??


[Edited by: SkyWarnTX at 2/10/2012 10:39:49 AM EST]
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hiwayhauler
Sophomore Author Texas

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Message Posted: Feb 10, 2012 9:10:47 AM

yeah right, i doubt it will get that low
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baddog58
Champion Author Texas

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 6:10:46 PM

1) $70 sounds too low to me.
2) Falling oil prices haven't shown any close relationship to the price at
the pumps.
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bigmoo63
All-Star Author Kalamazoo

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 5:53:49 PM

Won't happen. The dollar is far too devalued. If it falls this far, its because of a worldwide recession. And that may very well happen. But the price wont fall that far. And if it does, gas prices will not.
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ToolinIt
Champion Author Colorado

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 4:47:29 PM

It will NEVER happen. Oil prices are like taxes, always increasing but never decreasing.
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Night Owl
Champion Author Toronto

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 4:10:38 PM

Will greedy oil speculators allow this to happen?
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PathfinderSC
Champion Author South Carolina

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 4:00:00 PM

bring it on , We sure need it.
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Joeski1
Champion Author New Jersey

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 3:12:59 PM

liars....

but if ya don't mind too much, they'll charge ya $4 a gallon till then...

more BS from the fossil foolers....

do you believe this BS???

sounds like you're "fossil fooled"

[Edited by: Joeski1 at 2/6/2012 4:13:30 PM EST]
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gasokie
Champion Author Oklahoma

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 2:58:13 PM

They are probably right and I hope it doesn't go much lower as 70 is a good price ---- in that consumers can accept and get by on that (30% drop) and it's not so bad that the oilies will start shutting down their rigs and dry up supplies. There is, however..looking ahead the next 50 years or so a glut of energy coming up. Be prepared to see even more of those goofy windmill farms your tax dollars are building abandoned and just flapping around with everyone wondering just how that happened.
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zeusboy
Rookie Author Atlanta

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 2:53:32 PM

BS
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investmentdr
Champion Author Cleveland

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 2:18:40 PM

love how only on gasbuddy can a story like tis be viewed negatively
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investmentdr
Champion Author Cleveland

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 2:17:21 PM

that's more like it
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Dr Gas
Champion Author Twin Cities

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 2:10:46 PM

vtroger -
you can be wrong and they have gone in opposite directions many times.

With oil and gas DON'T assume the obvious. It'll come back and surprise you by doing the unexpected!
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dgerst
Champion Author South Carolina

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 12:59:06 PM

So when oil prices go down and gasoline prices rise, the only winners are the big oil companies.
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vtroger
Veteran Author Vermont

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 12:26:15 PM

Ok. Correct me if I'm wrong. Oil prices go up...gas prices go up. Oil prices go down...gas prices go up. Yup sounds about right.
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acvw74
All-Star Author Illinois

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 12:23:55 PM

And gas will be over $4 as predicted...
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db60
All-Star Author Indiana

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 11:30:08 AM

Yeah, right!
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md11capt
Champion Author Denver

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 10:48:11 AM

Also, a huge pure gold meteor could land in your back yard.
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RNCII
Champion Author Michigan

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 10:43:37 AM

Jeff4U and LEGION57 I have to agree 100%
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LEGION57
Champion Author South Carolina

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 10:35:48 AM

yeahhhhh
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Jeff4U
Champion Author Atlanta

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 10:23:14 AM

I don't mind hearing this kind of speculation.
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Nicoalbum
Champion Author Ottawa

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 10:23:00 AM

Kind of an opposite prediction. Well, this may happen if economy will keep going weak.
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doctorindyj
Champion Author Santa Fe

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 10:21:32 AM

Warns? That would be good news. In fact if it fell further that would be even better. This is definitely a switch they usually try to convince us that the price will skyrocket by three or four dollars.
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graceman
Champion Author Baltimore

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 10:10:18 AM

Sounds good to me!
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TripleHs
Champion Author Austin

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 10:10:16 AM

"could, could", and who cares about those "could" estimates anyway? i can probably make a more accurate "estimate". lol
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WalkingWV
Champion Author West Virginia

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:53:36 AM

"..warns Shell"? Sounds like what an industry rag should say.

Pump price won't drop anyway.
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FPLREP
Champion Author Virginia

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:52:24 AM

Edpap wrote"Will Obama do anything to lower the price at the pump, or will he continue to be invisible like he is now? ". He is hardly invisible, everytime I turn around he is on one channel or another blubbering about why he can't get anything done! Stop whining! BTW I would like more warnings like this from Shell.
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furbud1957
All-Star Author York

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:47:34 AM

Heck, that would be like getting a raise for the working people who commute!
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leraar2
Champion Author Massachusetts

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:46:39 AM

that's such a crying shame,
a down right crime!

why don't we just blame "supply and demand"?
guess it works on the way down too.
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Edpap
Champion Author Pennsylvania

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:45:02 AM

Will Obama do anything to lower the price at the pump, or will he continue to be invisible like he is now?
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kx250
Champion Author Michigan

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:43:16 AM

Welcome news for the economy, but it's gonna make it harder to get rid of the socialist in chief.
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BurntOrange
Champion Author Austin

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:33:39 AM

johntxx wrote:

"Something to key on in this article, "Mr Voser said Shell used "conservative ranges" in its assumptions about oil prices to assess risk when planning projects, to ensure they break even – even if prices fall. "We plan inside a $50-$90 range for oil," he said."

And you wonder why the profits for oil companies are so high with a "break even" at as low as $50/bbl.

I guess it would be illegal to put a bounty on energy speculators? "

---------------------------------------------------------

I don't think you understand the oil business.

For the most part, very little of the oil extracted from a well belongs to the oil companies.

Oil Reserves by Country

Most oil reserves are owned by countries. You have to go #17 to find a company (Exxon), and Shell comes in at #22.

Oil companies make most of their money by extracting the oil, refining it, and selling it to consumers.

Oil companies get a temporary benefit from oil price jumps, because the value of the inventory that they hold jumps as well. On the other hand,they can lose money when prices drop.

This is why oil company profits can swing so dramatically, and what gets consumers fired up. When profits are good due to a recent jump in oil prices, you hear lots of complaining.
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portlandcat
Champion Author Tennessee

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:31:44 AM

o.k. I'm totally confused now....who do you believe?
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MustangRacing
Champion Author Virginia

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:28:57 AM

One can only hope to see $70 barrel crude.
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ziyulu
Champion Author Oklahoma City

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:26:32 AM

I thought the same executives said we would see $5 gas? I'm really confused now.
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Goatroper
Champion Author Dallas

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:23:37 AM

tea leaves, friggin tea leaves.
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johntxx
All-Star Author Texas

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:23:30 AM

Something to key on in this article, "Mr Voser said Shell used "conservative ranges" in its assumptions about oil prices to assess risk when planning projects, to ensure they break even – even if prices fall. "We plan inside a $50-$90 range for oil," he said."

And you wonder why the profits for oil companies are so high with a "break even" at as low as $50/bbl.

I guess it would be illegal to put a bounty on energy speculators?

In Texas we have them on other varmints like coyotes.



[Edited by: johntxx at 2/6/2012 10:27:43 AM EST]
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MontanaMac
Champion Author Washington

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:21:04 AM

Wait, the Kuwaitis (in an article below) are claiming it will run to 160.....
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Dr Gas
Champion Author Twin Cities

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Message Posted: Feb 6, 2012 9:14:48 AM

Yep,
First predict that gas will be $4, then $5,
and oil will go above and stay above $100 -
then say oil will fall to very low levels.

It all about keeping us little guys confused!

But we know, yet the ones who should know turn a blind eye to,
the fact that if we took speculation in oil futures out of the equation, like before 2000, then supply and demand would drive the market, and we'd all be paying less then $3 for gas!!
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